Low-latitude rainfall variability on the daily to intraseasonal timescale is often related to tropical waves, including convectively coupled equatorial waves, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and tropical disturbances (TDs). Despite the …
Precipitation forecasts in the tropics potentially have a high economic value, but the quality of current numerical weather prediction (NWP) ensemble forecasts has not been evaluated in detail. In this study, we investigate the skill of two ensemble …
Precipitation forecasts are of high socioeconomic importance for agriculturally dominated societies in northern tropical Africa. However, recent work has shown that state-of-the-art operational global ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are not able …
Low-latitude rainfall variability on the daily to intraseasonal timescale is often related to tropical waves, including convectively coupled equatorial waves, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and tropical disturbances. Despite the importance of …
Low-latitude rainfall variability on the daily to intraseasonal timescale is often related to tropical waves, including convectively coupled equatorial waves, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and tropical disturbances. Despite the importance of …
Throughout the tropics, forecasts of precipitation have a multitude of users from the short range to the seasonal timescales. Despite this, relatively little is known about the quality of current numerical weather prediction (NWP) ensemble forecasts …
Equatorial waves often couple with deep convection and this way modulate rainfall on the synoptic to subseasonal timescale throughout the tropics. Until now, however, no comparative study of the influence of all the different wave types on …
The interaction between soil moisture and precipitation is enhanced in transition zones between wet and dry regions. Therefore, it is plausible that a more realistic representation of soil moisture-related processes in an earth system model would …
Precipitation forecasts are of high socioeconomic importance for agriculturally dominated societies in northern tropical Africa. This region is dominated by the West African monsoon, creating a unimodal rainfall peak in boreal summer in the Sahel and …
Despite their high socio-economic importance, forecasts of tropical rainfall on a synoptic timescale are still poor. Due to the complex nature of convection, numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to deliver reliable and accurate …